March 31, 2017

Four Key Takeaways from the CBO Long-Term Outlook

Yesterday the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office released the 2017 Long-Term Budget Outlook, highlighting the significant fiscal challenges facing our nation.

Here are four key takeaways from our analysis of the CBO report:

1) Federal debt is already at its highest level since 1950 and is projected to climb to 150 percent of GDP under current law by 2047 — by far an all-time high.

Tweet: Federal debt is projected to climb to 150% of GDP by 2047


2) Rising debt is a result of a structural imbalance between revenues and spending. Under current law, spending growth, which is fueled primarily by the aging of the population and growing healthcare costs, significantly outpaces the projected growth in revenues.

Tweet: Our rising #NationalDebt is caused by a mismatch between spending and revenues


3) As the debt grows and interest rates rise, interest costs are projected to increase rapidly. By 2028, interest will become the third largest category of the budget, behind only Social Security and Medicare.

Tweet: Interest costs on #NationalDebt will outpace spending on R&D, #education & #infrastructure


4) Rising debt will harm our economy and slow the growth of productivity and wages. On our current path, the annual average income loss for a 4-person family would be $16,000 by 2047.

Tweet: The growing #NationalDebt will substantially reduce household incomes

The good news is that it’s not too late to adjust course, and the sooner we get started, the easier it will be to fix. To learn more about bipartisan policy options, visit our Solutions page.

Expert Views: Fiscal Commission

We asked experts with diverse views from across the political spectrum to share their perspectives.

National Debt Clock

See the latest numbers and learn more about the causes of our high and rising debt.