Fiscal and Monetary Policy Work Best Together
High inflation breeds instability, raising the risk of both higher interest rates and recession.
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High inflation breeds instability, raising the risk of both higher interest rates and recession.
Fixing the budget requires addressing the root cause of the long-term deficits: escalating Social Security and Medicare shortfalls.
Since its establishment in 1935, Social Security has grown to become the largest program in the federal budget.
https://www.pgpf.org/blog/2023/02/social-security-reform-should-we-reduce-benefits
Federal debt is already at its highest level as a percentage of GDP since 1950 and would exceed its all-time high by 2034 under current law.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2018/07/cbo-warns-historic-debt-levels-threaten-economy
Every month the U.S. Treasury releases data on the federal budget, including the current deficit. Here is the data for August 2022.
https://www.pgpf.org/the-current-federal-budget-deficit/budget-deficit-august-2022
Medicare spending is projected to rise rapidly.
https://www.pgpf.org/chart-archive/0276_medicare_spending_long-term
Medicaid provides health insurance to low-income Americans. Children make up nearly half of the program’s enrollment, but most spending is directed towards the elderly and disabled.
https://www.pgpf.org/chart-archive/0093_medicaid_demographics
Medicare's Hospital Insurance trust fund will be depleted in 2026.
General revenue — not the Medicare payroll tax — is now the largest source of Medicare’s financing.
Transfers from programs like Medicaid, CHIP, and SNAP represent an increasing share of income for low to middle income groups.
https://www.pgpf.org/chart-archive/0234_transfer_programs_share_income