As Congress works to reconcile House and Senate versions of tax legislation through a conference committee — and as new scores estimating the budgetary and economic effects of the legislation are released — it is important for policymakers and the general public to have a full understanding of the various analyses and the underlying approaches to better interpret their meaning.
The budgetary and economic effects of proposed tax legislation are a critical element of the debate. While these effects are central to tax policy, the modeling assumptions underlying them are often not adequately understood.
To help illuminate the assumptions and methodologies used in modeling changes to tax policy, the Peterson Foundation asked three non-governmental organizations — the Penn Wharton Budget Model, the Tax Foundation, and the Tax Policy Center — to answer a set of nine questions that highlight important aspects of tax modeling. Each organization independently submitted its written responses, which are shown in the report.
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Further Reading
Budget Basics: What Is the Child Tax Credit?
The CTC provides assistance to families with children, and while it represents a relatively modest part of overall government spending, it is one of the largest tax expenditures.
Budget Basics: Tax Expenditures
Tax expenditures can come in the form of exclusions, exemptions, deductions, and credits.
How Did the One Big Beautiful Bill Act Change Tax Policy?
See how OBBBA restructured the tax landscape across four major areas: individual tax provisions, business tax provisions, energy tax credits, and health-related tax changes.