As Congress works to reconcile House and Senate versions of tax legislation through a conference committee — and as new scores estimating the budgetary and economic effects of the legislation are released — it is important for policymakers and the general public to have a full understanding of the various analyses and the underlying approaches to better interpret their meaning.
The budgetary and economic effects of proposed tax legislation are a critical element of the debate. While these effects are central to tax policy, the modeling assumptions underlying them are often not adequately understood.
To help illuminate the assumptions and methodologies used in modeling changes to tax policy, the Peterson Foundation asked three non-governmental organizations — the Penn Wharton Budget Model, the Tax Foundation, and the Tax Policy Center — to answer a set of nine questions that highlight important aspects of tax modeling. Each organization independently submitted its written responses, which are shown in the report.
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Further Reading
What Are Estate and Gift Taxes and How Do They Work?
Estate and gift taxes produce relatively lower revenue compared to other sources, but they generate a significant amount of attention, and even controversy.
10 of the Largest Tax Breaks Explained
Tax breaks totaled over $2.0 trillion in 2025. That’s more than the government spends on Social Security, defense, or Medicare and Medicaid.
8 Key Charts on Tax Breaks
The cost of tax breaks was greater than the size of the deficit in 2025.