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    Programs & Projects

    US 2050: Conference Agenda

    By 2050, the US will be very different than it is today. Adults aged 65 and over will outnumber children under the age of 18, and our population will be much more racially and ethnically diverse, the young much more so than the old. With those changing demographics as a backdrop, the US 2050 project examines the socioeconomic developments and fiscal choices we make today that will determine standards of living decades from now.


    https://www.pgpf.org/us-2050/spring-conference

    Programs & Projects

    Demographic Drivers of the Post-Recessionary Fertility Decline and the Future of U.S. Fertility

    This paper examines trends in important demographic drivers of fertility—such as women’s intentions to have children, postponed childbearing, and migration—to better understand the implications of the recent fertility decline for future fertility patterns.


    https://www.pgpf.org/us-2050/research-projects/Demographic-Drivers-of-the-Post-Recessionary-Fertility-Decline-and-the-Future-of-US-Fertility

    Programs & Projects

    The Role of Institutions in Shaping America’s Future Demographics

    This paper examines the political and economic motivations citizens of Mexico, China and India have to migrate to the US, as well as the role that American political institutions play in determining who immigrates here. It highlights US immigration policies as playing the primary role in determining the flow of immigrants to the US, particularly for India and China. While immigration from Mexico is in part determined by policy, there is evidence that economic and network factors matter as well.


    https://www.pgpf.org/us-2050/research-projects/The-Role-of-Institutions-in-Shaping-Americas-Future-Demographics

    Programs & Projects

    Past and Present Differences in Opportunity by Neighborhood

    This project seeks to understand how mobility has evolved over the course of the 20th Century to predict how it may evolve over the next 30 years. It examines neighborhood factors that affect mobility and investigates whether the historical characteristics of childhood neighborhoods affect adult outcomes. The paper includes results for children by race, gender and levels of parental income.


    https://www.pgpf.org/us-2050/research-projects/Past-and-Present-Differences-in-Opportunity-by-Neighborhood

Expert Views: Fiscal Commission

We asked experts with diverse views from across the political spectrum to share their perspectives.

National Debt Clock

See the latest numbers and learn more about the causes of our high and rising debt.